Quotes of the Week 018

IDC forecast on telecoms spending, especially Pay-TV:

"By contrast, the pay-TV services market — encompassing cable, satellite, Internet protocol (IP) and digital terrestrial TV services — is set to remain flat over the five-year forecast period"

Ampere Analysis on the popularity of sports:

"Even though criticism about inflated rates emerges every time rights come up for renewal, the reality is that fans love their sports and most are willing to pay regularly to view it on TV"

Seth Godin on the employment risks of digital marketplaces:

"Any market that seems to offer an 'easy in' to the undifferentiated will eventually squeeze them"

Nadeem Syed (dir. private security company, Islamabad):

"Over 50% of the cameras in the city are not functional due to the negligence... dust on the camera lenses makes it virtually impossible to get clean footage of any incident"

ABI Research:

"Smart Cities research pegs global cost savings with smart city tech at $5 trillion yearly; Survey of 455 companies highlights tension between cost savings and better decision-making as the main driver"

IotBusiness on an ABI report on Edge Computing:

"The popular idea of IT/OT integration is fixated on the cloud, but now leading companies are trying to balance distributed computing at the edge with consolidated computing in the cloud"

TechCrunch predictions for digital media in 2018:

"#1  There will be blood in the escalating battle amongst premium OTT video giants, as the market becomes over-saturated, early winners and losers are declared and Netflix finds itself increasingly in everyone's lines of sight — including Disney's and Apple's"

NetFlix on the challenges of efficient video coding:

"Stranger Things season 2 is shot in 8K and has nine episodes. The source files are terabytes and terabytes of data. Each season required 190,000 CPU hours to encode"

McAfee & Brynjolfsson's book 'Machine, Platform, Crowd: Harnessing Our Digital Future':

"In the relationship between mind and machine, product and platform, core and crowd – the latter of each pair has grown so much stronger now, that the relationship between each of these must be re-examined"

IPG Mediabrands on digital advertising surpassing TV for the first time:

"Digital ad spending reached $209 billion worldwide — 41% of the market — in 2017, while TV brought in $178 billion — 35% of the market — in 2017"

Gartner on the changing role of the Chief Data Officer:

"CDOs are increasingly asked to help monetise the data companies hold, rather than purely managing and protecting that data"

Quotes of the Week 017

Juniper Research, 5G forecast:

"1.4 billion 5G connections by 2025, an increase from just 1 million in 2019, the anticipated first year of commercial launch"

Karri Kuoppamaki (T-Mobile) on their NB-IoT Strategy:

"We will support LTE-M also, for the use cases that make sense"

Chad Thompson (Verizon) on their Virtual Network Services - One:

"...is to deliver a billing experience for customers similar to their experience with Fios Internet or their cell phone bill where the bill for hardware and software is automatically bundled"

Sahil Sharma (via NextBigWhat) on NeuroMarketing:

"Your customer has three brains – Reptilian, Mammalian and New/Human Brain. In order to make your marketing effort successful, you must appeal to all the three of them in the correct order"

#E4G5G workshop via Dean Bubley:

"If enterprises cannot get private mmWave #spectrum for in-building / on-site private #5G use, expect them to use #wigig instead"

FierceCable on lower city tax revenues from cord cutting:

"local governments across the country are clearly aware of the potential (if not the actuality) of diminishing franchise fee revenues, and are looking at other options. One plan under consideration by many is adopting taxes on streaming video services"

cimicorp on telco's need to urgently reduce cost/bit:

"First, … that leaves operators with only the option of targeting costs, near-term.  Second, operator initiatives to address costs have proven very complex because many of their costs aren't service- or even technology-specific"

Iain Morris, Light Reading, on the fragility of BT's big video strategy:

"Without football, and a smattering of other sports, BT's TV service is an underwhelming buffet of free-to-air shows and movies that are mostly obtainable from the much cheaper Netflix & Amazon"

Benedict Evans on the 25yr anniversary of the first SMS:

"The global SMS system peaked at maybe 20bn messages a day. WhatsApp and WeChat combined are now at over 100bn"

Sharon White (CEO of Ofcom) on BT's assets to support mass FTTP rollout:

"BT owns a vast network of cable ducts and around 90% of them have space to lay new fibre optic cable … That would take the average cost of providing a home or business with full fibre from around £500 to £250"

Via RapidTVNews on success for China's home-produced TV:

"Netflix has also secured the rights in Southeast Asia to the iQIYI crime series Burning Ice, produced by Han Sanping and starring Chinese art house favourite Qin Hao"

Iain Morris, Light Reading, on the FCC's netneutrality policy:

"In the meantime, the problem that net neutrality is meant to address is already upon us -- and not because of legislative shortcomings on net neutrality. Amazon, Google, Facebook & Microsoft, the four horsemen of the technopocalypse, are omnipresent and unavoidable"

Quotes of the Week 016

Erzsébet Fitori (director of the FTTH Council Europe) on Germany's love of copper:

The lack of modern digital infrastructure is "very risky for Germany as a leading economy, and there's an increasing competitive risk"

VentureBeat on autonomous vehicles:

"Another barrier to AV adoption is cybersecurity — nobody wants a 2,000-pound object traveling at 65 miles an hour in the hands of hackers"

Simon Schmincke (VC at Creandum) on the surging success of eSports:

"The prejudice of esports is still that this is a format for 15 year old boys. Far from it. This is mass market"

nFx (a VC) via Medium:

"The short answer: over the past 23 years, network effects have accounted for approximately 70% of the value creation in tech"

NetFlix on their backend systems:

"100s of microservices; 1000s of daily production changes; 10,000s of instances; 100,000s of customer interactions / min; 1,000,000s of customers; 1,000,000,000s of metrics; 10s of engineers"

LightReading on xRAN specification:

"As operators start to develop truly multivendor networks, smaller specialized RAN players might be able to break into a part of the network market that has been dominated by Ericsson, Huawei, Nokia and ZTE in recent years"

AT&T, 'In Building the Network of the Future':

..while NFV provides an opportunity to reduce opex and improve customer experience, it introduces additional layers of operational complexity that "put more onus on the operator to integrate technologies that were traditionally integrated by a vendor"

AMDOCS (via LightReading) on telco's NFV concerns:

"Security (20%) is always a popular concern -- no one ever got fired for worrying about security risks"

François Chollet (via Medium) on an intelligence explosion:

"In particular, there is no such thing as "general" intelligence. On an abstract level, we know this for a fact via the 'no free lunch' theorem  that no problem-solving algorithm can outperform random chance across all possible problems"

Ashish Sinha (via NextBigWhat) on the 4 stages of 0 -> 1 products:

"Stage 1: Define your People Outcomes;  Stage 2: get Product-Market Fit;  Stage 3: Reconciliation;  Stage 4: Growth"

Verizon, on their 2018 launch of residential 5G service in Sacramento:

"Verizon estimates the market opportunity for initial 5G residential broadband services to be approximately 30 million households nationwide"

Quotes of the Week 015

Nick Gliddon, (Director Vodafone Business Services) on NB-IoT in India:

"In terms of potential for IoT, we would focus on healthcare, education, energy, and automotive"

Gideon Greenspan (CEO of Coin Sciences):

"If your requirements are fulfilled by today's relational databases, you'd be insane to use a blockchain"

Fahim Sabir (director of architecture and development, Colt UK) on automation:

"Data quality is the silent killer… the thing that absolutely hurts"

Scientific American on Smart Cities:

"The current reality of smart cities is that there aren't any. At the end of the day, most so-called smart cities are just cities with a few or several standout smart projects"

Brian Gallagher on the attention economy:

"Modern media Is a DoS attack on your free will"

Aberdeen Group report on B2B buyers:

"First B2B buyers are still focused on cost and ROI… second, many of the buyers appear to be taking a more strategic approach to buying decisions, once basic financial criteria are satisfied"

Credit Suisse report:

(the world's) "7 biggest companies are worth $4.3 trillion"

Zahid Ghadialy commenting on the London uRLLC conference:

"Ultra-reliable (UR) may have different use cases then low latency communication (LLC). Lumping them together in URLLC is not helpful"

Vodafone CTO via Dimitris Mavrakis on 5G:

"Will 5G be like 2G and 4G, or like 3G?". Now, it's like 3G, designing use cases and apps that nobody knows if they will be successful (e.g. 3G video calling). 2G and 4G were all about letting users/developers create their own"

(attributed to) Marc Andressen:

"The truest form of a partnership is called a purchase order"

Eldar Tuzmukhametov (head of Moscow Smart City Lab) on blockchain:

"We are waiting for blockchain productivity to increase. The generation of unique codes is currently rather low"

Quotes of the Week 014

Kentaro Toyama on reducing poverty with technology:

"As a society, we haven't been so intent on eradicating poverty, as much as perhaps, on ever cleverer ways to guide us to the nearest cup of coffee. The technology is incredible, but our intent is not there"

TelcoTransformation on the rise of SD-WAN versus MPLS:

"The $2 Billion revenue gain for SD-WAN in 2018 might indicate potentially $10-16 Billion MPLS revenue erosion for major telcos, which becomes quite a serious wake-up alarm"

Mark Haefele (fund manager for USB) on avoiding bitcoin, et al:

"The total sum of all cryptocurrencies is not even the size of some of the smaller currencies that UBS would allocate to"

@Falkvinge on crypto-currencies:

"In order to beat old-world banking, crypto must be at least an order of magnitude better. Old-world banking offers free instant tx between private accounts, and 15% txs to merchant accounts. Beat that or be obsoleted"

Harvard Business Review, via helpful.com:

"However, the data suggests that there is very low correlation between interview scores and actual job performance"

Mike Haberman (VP Network Support, Verizon) on their demo of 5G WTTx technology:

"When we say 1 gig, we're talking averages, we're not talking peaks"

@thepatleong on API-first development:

"APIs shouldn't be an after-thought, they should BE the application"

Calvin Biesecker on a potential security vulnerability in 737 avionics:

"The cost to change one line of code on a piece of avionics is $1m, and it takes a year to implement. For Southwest Airlines, whose fleet is based on Boeing's 737, it would bankrupt them if a cyber vulnerability was specific to systems on board 737s"

@swardley:

"AMZN is now worth an IBM + Oracle + CISCO and you'd still have enough change left over to buy most of VMware. Not bad for a decade of growth"

Troy Hunt on website security:

"The aphorism for the modern age is not 'Know thyself', it's 'Attack thyself first'"

Pete Warden on the changing the way we build software:

"Instead of writing and maintaining intricate, layered tangles of logic, the developer has to become a teacher, a curator of training data and an analyst of results"